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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 42 5-12 1-6 0-0 12 1 2 2 11 - -
Anthony Edwards * 37 8-19 3-8 13-18 4 3 0 1 32 - -
Julius Randle * 33 2-13 0-7 1-3 11 7 0 2 5 - -
Mike Conley * 25 1-6 1-4 2-2 4 8 1 0 5 - -
Rudy Gobert * 24 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 1 4 - -
Naz Reid 32 11-20 5-10 2-2 8 1 0 0 29 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 2-10 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Rob Dillingham 17 6-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Luka Garza 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 37 7-14 4-6 4-4 6 5 2 0 22 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 9-18 0-3 6-7 11 0 1 2 24 - -
Ja Morant * 30 5-16 0-4 9-13 4 7 1 0 19 - -
Jaylen Wells * 29 4-9 2-6 3-3 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Zach Edey * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 - -
Luke Kennard 19 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 2-3 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 7 - -
Santi Aldama 14 1-8 0-7 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jake LaRavia 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 - -
GG Jackson 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jay Huff 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter