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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 12-22 3-5 5-5 9 7 1 1 32 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 2-9 0-1 0-0 4 3 3 0 4 - -
Jalen Duren * 29 8-8 0-0 0-0 14 3 4 2 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 29 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Ausar Thompson * 22 5-12 0-1 1-2 9 0 0 1 11 - -
Malik Beasley 29 5-12 3-9 4-4 0 1 2 0 17 - -
Isaiah Stewart 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Ronald Holland II 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Marcus Sasser 13 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Simone Fontecchio 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 40 7-14 0-2 3-4 6 5 3 0 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 7-15 5-13 1-2 5 2 6 0 20 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Green * 30 8-21 2-8 1-2 4 4 1 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 29 5-14 0-1 1-1 8 5 0 0 11 - -
Tari Eason 26 2-7 1-2 3-4 4 1 5 0 8 - -
Cam Whitmore 19 4-9 2-7 0-1 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Jock Landale 10 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -

* = starter