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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 62.0% 38.0% -2.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 40 11-24 3-8 8-9 4 3 3 0 33 - -
Daniel Gafford * 33 12-15 0-0 7-7 15 3 1 7 31 - -
P.J. Washington * 30 5-15 1-5 2-2 9 1 1 0 13 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 30 3-11 0-6 1-1 5 3 2 0 7 - -
Klay Thompson * 29 2-5 1-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Naji Marshall 32 3-10 1-6 1-2 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 19 2-4 0-2 2-2 8 1 1 0 6 - -
Maxi Kleber 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 37 8-21 5-10 2-4 7 9 1 1 23 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 8-15 4-7 3-4 5 2 0 1 23 - -
Nick Smith Jr. * 30 7-13 5-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 19 - -
Mark Williams * 29 5-14 0-0 3-4 13 2 1 3 13 - -
Josh Green * 27 1-6 0-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 4 - -
Cody Martin 19 4-8 1-3 1-2 7 7 1 1 10 - -
Josh Okogie 18 2-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 - -
Moussa Diabaté 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 10 - -
Seth Curry 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Vasilije Micić 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter