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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (113-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 10-21 2-7 5-5 4 5 2 1 27 - -
Nikola Vučević * 35 6-14 1-4 4-4 11 7 3 1 17 - -
Josh Giddey * 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 1 0 - -
Coby White * 27 4-10 1-4 0-2 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 5-11 2-5 3-4 3 1 1 0 15 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 32 4-8 1-3 3-4 1 4 1 0 12 - -
Dalen Terry 15 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Matas Buzelis 14 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 2 7 - -
Jalen Smith 12 2-5 0-2 3-3 3 0 1 2 7 - -
Julian Phillips 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scoot Henderson * 38 8-15 3-8 6-8 7 8 2 0 25 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 7-15 0-1 1-2 13 2 0 2 15 - -
Deni Avdija * 35 9-16 1-4 1-1 12 3 3 0 20 - -
Jerami Grant * 30 5-11 2-6 6-6 1 0 0 1 18 - -
Toumani Camara * 28 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 33 8-18 2-7 5-6 4 3 0 0 23 - -
Kris Murray 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Jabari Walker 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Dalano Banton 9 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 1 6 - -

* = starter