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2025-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% -
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 37 8-16 1-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 19 - -
Christian Braun * 35 6-10 1-3 7-7 11 2 0 0 20 - -
Nikola Jokić * 30 7-9 0-0 6-7 14 10 3 3 20 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 27 5-9 3-5 2-3 6 0 0 2 15 - -
Russell Westbrook * 25 5-9 1-3 1-2 5 6 0 0 12 - -
Julian Strawther 25 2-8 1-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Aaron Gordon 21 3-4 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
DeAndre Jordan 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Peyton Watson 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 3 4 - -
Jalen Pickett 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Hunter Tyson 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
PJ Hall 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Zeke Nnaji 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 6-15 1-5 3-4 13 5 3 1 16 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 4-14 2-7 2-3 1 4 1 0 12 - -
Tristan da Silva * 31 5-10 2-6 0-0 4 2 2 0 12 - -
Paolo Banchero * 29 4-16 0-2 2-3 7 5 2 1 10 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 4-13 1-3 0-0 6 5 2 0 9 - -
Anthony Black 28 5-10 1-3 3-4 1 5 2 1 14 - -
Trevelin Queen 23 4-11 0-5 0-0 1 2 3 1 8 - -
Caleb Houstan 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Jonathan Isaac 11 3-8 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 2 10 - -
Cory Joseph 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter