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2025-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - ✓
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 ✓ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 14.7% 85.3% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 36 12-25 8-15 6-6 5 5 0 0 38 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 34 2-8 0-4 0-2 6 7 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 7-12 3-6 5-6 6 4 0 0 22 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 30 4-10 3-7 0-0 9 2 1 1 11 - -
Carlton Carrington * 29 5-8 4-6 3-5 2 3 1 0 17 - -
Corey Kispert 30 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 10 - -
Kyshawn George 30 2-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 17 2-9 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 5 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 34 12-22 4-10 3-6 11 4 1 2 31 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-22 4-14 2-2 5 6 1 1 26 - -
Dennis Schröder * 31 7-14 2-4 4-4 1 4 1 0 20 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 24 2-5 0-0 2-4 15 1 0 1 6 - -
Draymond Green * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 28 4-7 2-5 3-3 2 1 1 1 13 - -
Kevon Looney 23 4-8 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 2 10 - -
Buddy Hield 21 2-7 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Gary Payton II 19 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Lindy Waters III 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gui Santos 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter