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2025-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.0% 78.0% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 39 11-14 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 23 - -
Trae Young * 38 10-23 3-10 5-5 4 11 2 2 28 - -
Jalen Johnson * 37 5-13 0-2 4-7 13 3 1 1 14 - -
Vít Krejčí * 25 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 3 7 - -
Clint Capela * 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 32 6-14 1-8 3-3 6 1 2 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 31 6-10 2-3 5-7 13 2 0 4 19 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović 23 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Garrison Mathews 14 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 43 7-20 5-16 2-2 8 2 0 1 21 - -
Jayson Tatum * 43 7-21 2-9 7-8 8 7 3 0 23 - -
Jaylen Brown * 42 9-27 2-9 4-5 11 8 2 0 24 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 3-8 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Luke Kornet * 30 7-9 0-0 3-4 7 2 4 2 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 32 7-12 4-8 2-2 6 1 0 0 20 - -
Neemias Queta 21 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 2 - -
Sam Hauser 20 0-7 0-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 - -

* = starter