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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% - βœ—
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 βœ— (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - βœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 42 11-22 1-5 12-13 5 3 1 0 35 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 13-27 2-8 8-12 7 5 2 3 36 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 10 2 0 4 - -
Ryan Dunn * 29 5-13 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Mason Plumlee * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Nick Richards 29 7-8 0-0 7-9 11 1 1 0 21 - -
Grayson Allen 29 1-4 1-2 4-4 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Royce O'Neale 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
MontΓ© Morris 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oso Ighodaro 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 36 9-15 2-5 1-1 5 2 0 1 21 - -
Cade Cunningham * 35 7-26 1-7 5-6 6 11 1 1 20 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 31 3-9 2-6 4-6 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 5-9 0-0 5-6 10 2 0 0 15 - -
Ausar Thompson * 18 2-5 0-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Malik Beasley 24 6-9 2-5 0-1 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Marcus Sasser 17 4-6 0-1 3-4 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Ronald Holland II 15 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Simone Fontecchio 12 2-4 0-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Paul Reed 7 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 1 6 - -

* = starter