Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (106-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 7-22 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 30 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter