Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -28 (112-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells * | 35 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 30 | 10-19 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter