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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +18 (130-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 34 4-16 0-6 2-2 8 10 2 2 10 16 -
Davion Mitchell * 29 4-6 1-3 1-1 0 3 0 1 10 8 -
RJ Barrett * 29 7-16 3-7 4-6 4 10 1 0 21 20 -
Gradey Dick * 28 5-12 0-5 3-3 1 3 1 0 13 6 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 6-11 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 12 15 -
Bruce Brown 20 6-11 2-5 3-4 6 0 0 0 17 12 -
Kelly Olynyk 19 5-7 2-4 3-6 4 2 1 0 15 15 -
Jamal Shead 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Jonathan Mogbo 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Chris Boucher 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 8 -
Garrett Temple 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jamison Battle 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 12-20 0-1 11-18 13 3 1 1 35 33 -
Damian Lillard * 35 6-14 4-7 10-10 3 8 2 1 26 26 -
Brook Lopez * 34 3-7 1-3 2-2 7 5 0 2 9 16 -
Taurean Prince * 22 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
Ryan Rollins * 16 3-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 5 -
Gary Trent Jr. 24 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 10 8 -
Bobby Portis 23 5-11 1-4 4-4 6 0 0 0 15 10 -
Khris Middleton 23 4-6 2-3 3-3 3 5 1 1 13 17 -
AJ Green 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 8 -
Chris Livingston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Liam Robbins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stanley Umude 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter