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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% - βœ“
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 βœ“ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +27 (121-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 4-9 1-5 6-10 9 3 0 0 15 18 -
Cole Anthony * 31 9-15 2-5 3-3 7 0 1 0 23 16 -
Tristan da Silva * 30 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 3 -
Paolo Banchero * 29 8-20 0-2 5-7 4 4 0 0 21 9 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 5 4 -
Anthony Black 28 4-10 0-3 5-6 6 3 0 0 13 12 -
Trevelin Queen 22 4-10 0-5 1-1 4 1 1 0 9 5 -
Jonathan Isaac 20 1-3 0-2 1-4 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
Caleb Houstan 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Cory Joseph 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 12-21 4-9 2-3 6 4 2 1 30 22 -
Jaylen Brown * 32 5-12 1-2 9-9 6 6 3 0 20 23 -
Derrick White * 30 5-12 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 12 6 -
Jrue Holiday * 29 3-8 3-6 0-0 6 4 1 0 9 12 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 23 7-10 3-5 6-6 4 1 0 1 23 19 -
Al Horford 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 7 -
Payton Pritchard 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 6 -
Sam Hauser 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
Neemias Queta 11 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 7 8 -
Luke Kornet 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jordan Walsh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Baylor Scheierman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jaden Springer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter