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2025-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% -
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% -
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (132-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 8-12 0-0 4-4 10 5 2 1 20 - -
Alperen Sengun * 33 8-15 1-2 4-7 10 3 4 1 21 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 5-14 2-8 0-0 3 4 2 0 12 - -
Jalen Green * 33 10-20 4-8 4-5 5 4 0 1 28 - -
Jeff Green * 22 4-6 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Tari Eason 24 6-10 1-4 3-5 4 0 1 0 16 - -
Cam Whitmore 22 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 9 - -
Steven Adams 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 2 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 13 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 6-17 2-4 5-5 3 7 4 1 19 - -
Keegan Murray * 39 7-10 3-6 1-1 11 2 0 0 18 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 12-23 2-4 7-7 5 4 0 0 33 - -
Malik Monk * 37 10-19 2-6 4-5 3 9 1 0 26 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 8-13 1-1 3-4 14 7 0 1 20 - -
Trey Lyles 19 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Keon Ellis 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Huerter 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Devin Carter 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter