Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | โ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | โ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 12-18 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Joviฤ | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter