Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | β (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -20 (108-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 10-16 | 6-10 | 8-8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 23 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 5 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 10-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 24 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter