Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (115-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 8-24 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 29 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 37 | 5-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 21 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter