Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 29 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 25 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 18 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 10-22 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter