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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% - βœ—
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 βœ— (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% - βœ—

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 10-21 7-12 4-4 1 8 1 0 31 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 6-16 2-8 10-12 5 2 2 0 24 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 26 2-7 0-0 0-0 15 2 0 2 4 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 24 5-11 2-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 12 - -
Gui Santos * 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 5 - -
Buddy Hield 29 6-11 3-6 3-3 1 0 3 2 18 - -
Moses Moody 24 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 1 4 - -
Gary Payton II 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 7 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 7-19 4-9 10-11 8 2 1 1 28 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 39 9-19 6-12 4-6 6 9 1 0 28 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 6-9 2-3 0-1 4 4 1 2 14 - -
Rudy Gobert * 29 2-2 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 2 7 - -
Julius Randle * 27 8-18 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 17 - -
Naz Reid 28 5-13 3-7 2-2 6 1 0 1 15 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Mike Conley 18 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 3 0 1 1 - -

* = starter