Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | β (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (110-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 34 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 4-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 30 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 20 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 35 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter