Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -19 (99-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 18-26 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon | 17 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 30 | 4-18 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter