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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (130-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 9-23 2-8 0-0 11 6 0 2 20 - -
Keegan Murray * 36 4-11 3-8 0-0 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 6-9 2-2 2-4 10 9 1 0 16 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 9-18 2-4 8-9 6 4 1 0 28 - -
Keon Ellis * 30 5-11 5-8 3-3 4 1 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Huerter 18 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Devin Carter 14 1-6 0-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Trey Lyles 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Alex Len 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 - -
Jae Crowder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaac Jones 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 14-23 0-2 5-7 11 13 0 2 33 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 8-15 5-8 3-3 5 7 0 1 24 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 8-15 3-7 2-3 5 2 1 0 21 - -
Taurean Prince * 22 3-4 3-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 9 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
AJ Green 30 5-13 4-12 2-2 4 1 0 0 16 - -
Bobby Portis 20 4-9 0-2 0-0 9 1 0 0 8 - -
Ryan Rollins 19 4-9 1-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 5 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 2 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Chris Livingston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Liam Robbins 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Stanley Umude 2 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter