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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (113-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 9-20 2-13 12-12 6 4 3 1 32 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 4-14 4-11 3-3 7 7 1 0 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 29 3-13 2-7 0-0 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Zion Williamson * 23 10-14 0-0 1-4 7 9 0 1 21 - -
Yves Missi * 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Javonte Green 28 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 1 4 2 7 - -
Daniel Theis 25 1-4 0-2 2-4 7 3 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Hawkins 20 4-10 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 1 9 - -
Jose Alvarado 16 4-8 4-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Brandon Boston 8 2-5 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 7 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 10-22 4-6 1-3 7 5 1 0 25 - -
Nikola Vučević * 35 10-16 1-2 1-2 15 2 1 1 22 - -
Coby White * 33 8-17 1-8 5-5 3 4 0 0 22 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 2-12 1-6 2-2 13 12 4 1 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Lonzo Ball 24 4-10 3-8 0-0 8 6 1 1 11 - -
Julian Phillips 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 - -
Jalen Smith 13 6-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Matas Buzelis 11 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter