Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (122-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 13-20 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 12-23 | 7-14 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 21 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 16 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 38 | 13-31 | 6-12 | 11-14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 43 | - | - | |
| Vít Krejčí * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 26 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 25 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter