Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 12-23 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 21 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| RayJ Dennis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter