Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 9-20 | 4-13 | 10-12 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 30 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 15 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 32 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 27 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 36 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 27 | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 35 | 12-17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 31 | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Nicolas Batum | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 16 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter