Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✗ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -24 (102-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 35 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 16 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 32 | 13-18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 15 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quincy Olivari | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter