Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 37 | 11-24 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 34 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 21 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 41 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 13-18 | 5-6 | 11-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 39 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 21 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter