Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | |
| Dennis Schröder * | 23 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - | |
| Gui Santos | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 40 | 9-21 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 24 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 21 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter