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2025-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 39 9-25 5-17 2-2 6 11 3 1 25 - -
Brandon Miller * 33 6-16 3-8 4-4 4 6 0 0 19 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 8-15 3-5 2-2 5 5 0 0 21 - -
Josh Green * 30 1-4 0-3 0-0 7 0 3 0 2 - -
Mark Williams * 29 9-12 0-0 6-10 16 4 0 1 24 - -
Cody Martin 25 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Nick Richards 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 17 3-10 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Vasilije Micić 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Tidjane Salaün 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 40 11-24 2-9 3-3 8 5 1 0 27 - -
Devin Booker * 38 10-20 4-9 6-6 5 8 3 0 30 - -
Ryan Dunn * 27 4-5 3-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 11 - -
Tyus Jones * 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 - -
Mason Plumlee * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 2 - -
Bradley Beal 35 5-12 2-4 3-4 3 6 0 2 15 - -
Oso Ighodaro 30 3-3 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 1 10 - -
Royce O'Neale 21 3-7 2-6 1-1 4 1 1 1 9 - -
Grayson Allen 13 4-7 3-6 2-2 1 0 2 0 13 - -

* = starter