Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.9% | 2.1% | -21.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -41 (95-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 30 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 16-17 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 21 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Carrington * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alexandre Sarr * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 23 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyshawn George | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter