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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -15 (93-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 33 5-15 2-7 0-2 3 3 0 1 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 8-21 0-5 2-2 9 2 1 2 18 - -
Myles Turner * 28 5-10 2-6 3-5 10 1 0 0 15 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 28 7-11 2-4 3-4 2 4 2 0 19 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 1 2 - -
Ben Sheppard 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 5 - -
Jarace Walker 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 12 2 2 1 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 19 5-5 1-1 0-1 3 1 0 2 11 - -
Obi Toppin 17 5-10 1-4 1-2 2 1 3 0 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 8 0 0 6 - -
Johnny Furphy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 30 6-10 1-2 3-3 12 1 0 1 16 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 30 7-17 3-7 2-2 3 1 2 0 19 - -
Darius Garland * 29 7-16 3-9 3-3 1 7 0 0 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 3-6 0-0 5-6 9 3 0 1 11 - -
Dean Wade * 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 9 1 1 0 3 - -
Caris LeVert 22 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 - -
Max Strus 22 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Georges Niang 19 3-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 1 7 - -
Isaac Okoro 18 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 1 3 - -
Sam Merrill 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaylon Tyson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter