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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% - βœ“
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.6 βœ“ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 14.0% 86.0% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (120-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 38 10-17 5-10 5-5 6 4 0 0 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 5-15 1-6 2-3 4 5 0 1 13 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 8-19 6-9 4-5 9 8 1 1 26 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 5-15 0-2 6-7 7 3 5 0 16 - -
Yves Missi * 25 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 4 0 1 7 - -
Daniel Theis 22 2-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 19 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 2 0 10 - -
Jordan Hawkins 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 11 3-5 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Brandon Boston 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 6-14 0-2 4-4 8 7 0 0 16 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 14-30 2-10 8-10 11 1 1 1 38 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 33 7-19 3-9 2-3 11 1 0 3 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 3-8 1-4 1-2 4 6 1 1 8 - -
Derrick White * 30 1-6 0-5 4-4 4 2 3 1 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 4 0 0 11 - -
Al Horford 22 4-6 3-4 0-0 7 0 0 1 11 - -
Luke Kornet 13 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Sam Hauser 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter