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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -5 (119-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-20 1-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 21 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 8-10 1-2 5-6 15 8 0 0 22 - -
Malik Monk * 37 7-17 1-7 3-3 8 9 2 0 18 - -
Keegan Murray * 36 5-12 3-8 1-2 5 2 1 1 14 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 9-16 4-8 4-5 9 3 0 1 26 - -
Keon Ellis 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 18 3-10 0-6 0-1 8 2 0 1 6 - -
Kevin Huerter 10 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Devin Carter 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 12-24 5-8 7-7 10 4 1 0 36 - -
Josh Giddey * 36 4-9 1-2 3-4 11 7 1 0 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 34 3-12 1-5 1-1 5 5 1 2 8 - -
Nikola Vučević * 33 8-15 1-4 1-3 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Lonzo Ball * 25 5-9 5-8 0-0 1 3 0 1 15 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 17 3-8 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Dalen Terry 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 2 - -
Jalen Smith 14 3-8 1-4 2-3 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Julian Phillips 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Matas Buzelis 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter