Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (101-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon | 18 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 9-19 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter