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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (29.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Log Adjusted 39.5% 60.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks +34 (140-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 8-17 2-7 4-5 3 5 1 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 10-21 0-1 4-10 13 2 0 1 24 - -
Taurean Prince * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 10 4-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 9 - -
AJ Green 24 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Khris Middleton 24 7-9 2-4 0-0 0 5 2 0 16 - -
Bobby Portis 18 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-6 0-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 8 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Delon Wright 6 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Liam Robbins 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Umude 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 37 2-5 1-4 1-2 2 6 0 2 6 - -
Josh Hart * 35 5-5 1-1 0-0 11 4 1 0 11 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 10-16 2-5 8-9 18 4 1 0 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 30 5-12 1-5 0-1 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Jalen Brunson * 28 16-26 5-10 7-8 5 6 1 0 44 - -
Miles McBride 19 2-7 2-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Precious Achiuwa 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Cameron Payne 14 6-10 4-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Landry Shamet 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jacob Toppin 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Ariel Hukporti 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Tyler Kolek 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 3 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter