Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | β (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (125-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 27 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 26 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 12-21 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 24 | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 33 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 10-13 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 20 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Shake Milton | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Bronny James | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter