Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -21 (98-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haywood Highsmith * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 31 | 11-22 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 31 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 16 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 37 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 10-23 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 14 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter