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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +9 (123-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 5-14 1-4 5-6 12 3 2 2 16 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 4-10 0-0 0-4 12 3 3 1 8 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 4-16 0-8 2-6 6 3 2 0 10 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 7-20 4-9 7-7 2 2 1 0 25 - -
Gradey Dick * 29 4-11 4-8 1-1 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Chris Boucher 19 5-6 4-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Bruce Brown 19 6-9 2-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 14 - -
Jamal Shead 16 3-3 1-1 3-3 0 5 2 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 37 8-17 2-4 4-5 10 17 1 2 22 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 6-12 2-5 3-3 7 3 0 1 17 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 31 9-13 7-8 2-3 3 1 2 0 27 - -
Jalen Duren * 28 3-4 0-0 4-4 9 2 0 1 10 - -
Ausar Thompson * 19 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 3 3 0 6 - -
Malik Beasley 27 6-10 4-5 2-4 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Isaiah Stewart 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 1 6 - -
Simone Fontecchio 15 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Ronald Holland II 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Marcus Sasser 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter