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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% - βœ“
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 βœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 68.5% 31.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 58.9% 41.1% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -4 (96-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 36 2-9 1-7 0-0 4 6 1 0 5 7 -
Jalen Green * 33 11-24 1-9 2-2 7 0 2 1 25 11 -
Dillon Brooks * 32 4-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 2 -
Amen Thompson * 30 2-5 0-0 7-7 5 3 3 1 11 18 -
Alperen Sengun * 29 7-12 0-1 4-4 10 2 1 0 18 19 -
Jae'Sean Tate 25 6-6 0-0 4-5 3 0 4 0 16 17 -
Cam Whitmore 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 6 -
Aaron Holiday 16 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 4 0 1 8 10 -
Jock Landale 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 10 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 36 4-12 1-5 3-3 10 6 4 1 12 21 -
Vít Krejčí * 36 5-14 2-10 1-2 5 2 2 1 13 9 -
Trae Young * 34 7-16 2-9 5-5 3 9 0 0 21 17 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 28 3-4 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 1 7 13 -
Mouhamed Gueye * 22 5-11 1-4 0-0 7 0 0 1 11 8 -
De'Andre Hunter 28 6-15 1-7 3-4 5 0 0 0 16 6 -
Keaton Wallace 21 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 5 -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 2-7 1-4 1-2 2 1 2 1 6 5 -
Garrison Mathews 12 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -

* = starter