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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% - βœ—
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 βœ— (29.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -17 (97-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 9-26 2-5 4-5 4 9 1 1 24 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 10-15 3-4 0-0 28 3 0 1 23 - -
Keegan Murray * 37 7-12 5-8 0-0 3 0 2 3 19 - -
Malik Monk * 36 9-24 3-11 1-1 3 8 1 1 22 - -
Keon Ellis * 22 2-6 1-5 1-1 3 2 3 1 6 - -
Trey Lyles 27 2-5 1-4 2-2 11 3 1 1 7 - -
Kevin Huerter 18 1-6 0-5 0-0 0 0 3 0 2 - -
Devin Carter 17 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 35 9-19 1-5 9-11 1 5 1 1 28 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 5-13 3-7 2-3 12 5 0 0 15 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 29 6-15 4-7 6-7 10 0 0 2 22 - -
Derrick White * 27 1-8 0-6 1-1 1 3 1 2 3 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 4-11 1-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Al Horford 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 6 - -
Sam Hauser 12 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter