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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 9-21 3-7 8-9 4 7 3 0 29 22 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 19-29 0-1 3-10 14 4 3 2 41 35 -
Brook Lopez * 34 2-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 0 3 8 9 -
Taurean Prince * 25 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 -
Bobby Portis 25 5-9 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 11 11 -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Khris Middleton 22 5-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 11 9 -
AJ Green 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 1 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan da Silva * 39 6-13 2-7 2-2 10 2 0 0 16 15 -
Cole Anthony * 35 5-15 3-10 5-8 7 2 2 1 18 15 -
Paolo Banchero * 26 11-21 5-8 7-10 7 3 2 1 34 26 -
Goga Bitadze * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 6 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 5 -
Caleb Houstan 29 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 5 -
Wendell Carter Jr. 25 0-4 0-1 2-4 5 3 1 1 2 8 -
Jonathan Isaac 20 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 2 9 8 -
Anthony Black 20 6-11 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 8 -
Jett Howard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Trevelin Queen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter