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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - βœ“
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 βœ— (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - βœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +12 (108-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindy Waters III * 35 3-8 1-5 0-1 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Buddy Hield * 34 6-19 3-12 2-2 4 5 0 0 17 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 28 5-13 1-6 1-1 2 4 2 0 12 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 27 3-6 0-0 3-4 10 1 2 1 9 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 4-9 0-2 0-0 7 5 1 1 8 - -
Gui Santos 23 4-5 2-2 1-2 3 3 2 0 11 - -
Moses Moody 22 3-11 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Pat Spencer 20 7-12 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Kevon Looney 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 - -
Quinten Post 7 2-4 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 34 9-18 3-8 0-0 10 2 0 0 21 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 8-10 2-4 7-7 2 10 3 0 25 - -
Myles Turner * 29 3-9 1-4 4-6 8 2 1 3 11 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 29 2-6 0-0 0-2 4 5 1 0 4 - -
Pascal Siakam * 29 12-16 1-4 0-2 9 0 1 0 25 - -
Ben Sheppard 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 - -
Thomas Bryant 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 2 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 4-8 0-0 2-2 2 6 0 1 10 - -
Jarace Walker 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
RayJ Dennis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Johnny Furphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
James Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter