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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.0% 80.0% -
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 33 9-22 5-11 6-7 6 0 5 1 29 - -
LaMelo Ball * 33 9-19 5-13 4-4 5 6 1 0 27 - -
Josh Green * 33 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Mark Williams * 29 3-7 0-0 4-4 9 2 0 0 10 - -
Nick Smith Jr. * 28 4-13 4-11 0-0 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 8 7 1 2 0 - -
Tidjane Salaün 17 1-5 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 - -
Seth Curry 16 3-8 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 10 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 15 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 1 5 - -
Elfrid Payton 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 39 7-16 1-8 2-4 8 3 1 0 17 - -
LeBron James * 37 10-22 4-11 2-2 7 11 1 2 26 - -
Luka Dončić * 33 5-18 1-9 3-4 11 8 1 0 14 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 2 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 8 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 28 4-7 4-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 12 - -
Gabe Vincent 20 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Dalton Knecht 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Alex Len 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter