Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -5 (92-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 27 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Collier * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 30 | 8-24 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 6 | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - | |
| Johnny Juzang * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Kyle Filipowski | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - | |
| Cody Williams | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Micah Potter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter