Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 37 | 9-22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 6 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 32 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - | |
| Kris Murray | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 28 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 29 | 10-18 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter