Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 11-21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 7-15 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 2-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 15 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter