Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 5-21 | 2-14 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 31 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 25 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 19 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 40 | 12-21 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 36 | 8-21 | 4-14 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter