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2025-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (132-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 11-20 0-2 2-4 10 8 3 0 24 - -
RJ Barrett * 37 8-15 2-6 2-3 5 5 2 0 20 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 8-10 0-0 1-4 7 6 3 1 17 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 30 4-10 2-6 0-0 0 7 0 0 10 - -
Gradey Dick * 21 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Chris Boucher 26 9-14 5-8 0-0 12 0 1 1 23 - -
Davion Mitchell 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 15 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Jamal Shead 14 6-7 3-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 15 - -
Kelly Olynyk 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 36 6-12 4-9 2-2 3 5 0 1 18 - -
Darius Garland * 35 14-22 4-7 8-9 2 9 2 0 40 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 7-11 3-5 4-6 11 6 1 0 21 - -
Dean Wade * 28 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 8-9 0-0 2-4 15 3 1 2 18 - -
Max Strus 24 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Ty Jerome 20 2-5 0-1 4-4 2 1 2 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 13 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Sam Merrill 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Okoro 7 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter