Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +16 (121-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 4-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 26 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 35 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 24 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 21 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 19 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Liam Robbins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter