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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 74.8% 25.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% - βœ“
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 βœ“ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% - βœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -19 (100-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 33 8-13 4-7 1-1 1 2 1 0 21 - -
Toumani Camara * 29 4-8 1-4 6-6 3 5 3 1 15 - -
Anfernee Simons * 28 7-11 3-7 0-0 6 5 1 0 17 - -
Deni Avdija * 27 10-15 4-7 2-4 6 2 1 1 26 - -
Deandre Ayton * 27 5-8 0-0 1-2 13 3 0 1 11 - -
Scoot Henderson 29 6-15 1-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 13 - -
Kris Murray 20 3-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Robert Williams III 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 4 4 - -
Dalano Banton 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Rayan Rupert 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Duop Reath 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 27 10-17 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 25 8-14 2-5 2-2 3 5 2 0 20 - -
Yves Missi * 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Herbert Jones * 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 28 3-7 2-5 1-1 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Jordan Hawkins 25 4-16 2-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Brandon Boston 21 3-12 0-4 0-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Jose Alvarado 19 3-8 1-2 2-3 3 3 3 1 9 - -
Daniel Theis 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Antonio Reeves 6 3-4 2-3 1-1 0 0 1 0 9 - -
Karlo Matković 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter